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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
AUSTRIA
Latest polling for the Austrian federal election taking place on 29 September shows the right-wing nationalist Freedom Party (FPÖ) retaining first position and on course to emerge as the largest party in the National Council. However, it is the centre-right People's Party (ÖVP), currently the senior partner in the governing coalition, that is set to emerge as the most important party post-election, serving as the kingmaker to either a right-wing or broad centre-left/centre-right gov't.
- The FPÖ continues to poll around the 26-30% range it has been in for some months. The ÖVP has for the past three months overtaken the centre-left Social Democrats (SPÖ) and is now on course to come in second place with around 22-25% support. The SPO is third with ~20% support.
- As EU Observer notes: "While a far-right victory would allow the FPÖ to hold coalition talks and appoint the chancellor, their only viable option for a needed coalition partner remains the ÖVP, the lone party that has not categorically ruled out a coalition with the FPÖ, only a cabinet including hardliner and FPÖ-leader [Herbert] Kickl."
- The FPÖ sits as part of the far-right Patriots for Europe group in the European Parliament, setting them further to the right than Italian PM Giorgia Meloni's Brothers of Italy. As such, an FPÖ-led coalition would mark the most right-wing gov't in the eurozone, risking political friction with Brussels and other member states.
Chart 1. Austria Election Opinion Polling, % and 6-Poll Moving Average
Source: Market-Lazarsfeld, Unique Research, OGM, IFDD, INSA, MNI
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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