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US TSYS: PBOC Stimulus Sees Bear Steepening But On Low Volumes

US TSYS
USBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsNorth America
  • Treasuries are mostly lower on the day after selling impetus following a dovish monetary policy tweak from the PBOC, although volumes have been light as US CPI on Wednesday and approaching year-end seems to weigh on activity.
  • Cash yields are unchanged (2s) to 2bp higher (30s).
  • 2s10s has steepened to 6.3bps (+1.2bp) but remains within last week’s range.
  • TYH5 trades at 111-13 (- 01+) off session highs of 111-18+ but has remained within Friday’s range throughout the overnight session, all on very low cumulative volumes of 235k.
  • Friday’s post-payrolls high of 111-20+ cleared the 50-day EMA and strengthens a bull cycle. It’s now an initial resistance level after which lies 111-23 (38.2% retrace of Sep 11 – Nov 15 bear leg). To the downside, support at 110-18 (Dec 4 low).
  • Data: Wholesale inventories, trade sales Oct F/Oct (1000ET), NY Fed 1-Yr Inflation Nov (1100ET)
  • Fedspeak: FOMC media blackout
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $81B 13W & $72B 26W bill auctions (1130ET)
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  • Treasuries are mostly lower on the day after selling impetus following a dovish monetary policy tweak from the PBOC, although volumes have been light as US CPI on Wednesday and approaching year-end seems to weigh on activity.
  • Cash yields are unchanged (2s) to 2bp higher (30s).
  • 2s10s has steepened to 6.3bps (+1.2bp) but remains within last week’s range.
  • TYH5 trades at 111-13 (- 01+) off session highs of 111-18+ but has remained within Friday’s range throughout the overnight session, all on very low cumulative volumes of 235k.
  • Friday’s post-payrolls high of 111-20+ cleared the 50-day EMA and strengthens a bull cycle. It’s now an initial resistance level after which lies 111-23 (38.2% retrace of Sep 11 – Nov 15 bear leg). To the downside, support at 110-18 (Dec 4 low).
  • Data: Wholesale inventories, trade sales Oct F/Oct (1000ET), NY Fed 1-Yr Inflation Nov (1100ET)
  • Fedspeak: FOMC media blackout
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $81B 13W & $72B 26W bill auctions (1130ET)