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PLN Stronger, 10Y Yield Lower Following CPI May Print

POLAND
  • This morning, economic data showed that Preliminary May CPI rose to 4.8% (as expected), up from 4.3% the previous month and confirming that the inflationary pressures continue to increase.
  • Hence, participants have been speculating that the NBP will have to make an early move, which has been one of the major factors behind PLN strength in the past two months.
  • EURPLN is currently testing its ST support at 4.47 (mid December levels); a break below that level would open the door for a move down to 4.44 (50% retracement of 4.20-4.68 range); other resistance to watch stands at 4.42 (December lows).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

  • The 10Y yield continues to consolidate following last week's rally, currently trading at 1.82%; next support stands at 1.80%, followed by 1.72%.

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