Free Trial
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
CANADA
PM Justin Trudeau's centre-left Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) remain under pressure in opinion polling, with the latest survey from Ipsos recording a majority of respondents supportive of the idea that Trudeau steps down as LPC head and PM in 2024, although most do not believe he will. Polling from Ipsos carried out 8-11 Dec showed 69% of respondents saying that Trudeau should resign in 2024, with 31% in favour of him remaining in office.
- However, just 28% of respondents believe Trudeau is very or somewhat likely to step down, compared to 63% who believe it is very or somewhat unlikely that he resigns.
- Trudeau's LPC continues to trail Pierre Poilievre's centre-right Conservative Party of Canada (CPC). Despite a small recovery in LPC support in Nov and Dec (see chart below), the CPC's lead continues to run at around 15%. Should current polling be reflected in a general election, it would most likely result in a CPC majority.
- The next general election does not have to take place until Oct 2025 at the latest. According to the poll, though, the majority of respondents see the election next year, with 59% of those asked saying they expect the vote to take place in 2024.
- A Nanos poll for Bloombergwill also make difficult holiday reading for Trudeau, stating that "Some 53% said their personal finances are worse now than eight years ago, [...] while 24% said they were better off and 21% said there had been no change."
Chart 1. General Election Opinion Polling, % and 6-Poll Moving Average
Source: Leger, Nanos Research, Pallas Data, Abacus Data, Mainstreet Research, Angus Reid, Innovative Research, Ipsos. MNI
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
We are facing technical issues, please contact our team.
ok
Your request was sent sucessfully! Our team will contact you soon.
ok