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Polish Officials Favour a Weaker Zloty

POLAND
  • In the past few weeks, the worsening Covid19 situation in Eastern Europe (and especially Poland where daily cases continue to surge) has been weighing on growth expectations and therefore has weakened the PLN against major currencies. PLN was one of the weakest performers (after TRY) in March relative to the USD, down nearly 5% (chart below).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

  • At the same time, Poland foreign currency debt as a share of total debt has significantly fallen in recent years, from a high of 35.5% in 2014 to 24.8% in 2020 (MoF / BBG), which makes it easier for the government as weaker currency does not dramatically increase the debt servicing costs.
  • We have seen earlier this year that Polish officials favour a weaker currency , especially in this environment, as it would boost exports and cheap financial conditions could also accelerate the economic recovery once the restrictions are lifted.

Source: Bloomberg/MoF/MNI

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