Poll Shows Macron Party Retaining Majority In Legislative Election

The latest poll from Harris Interactive shows President Emmanuel Macron's Renaissance (formerly La Republique En Marche) -led Ensemble group retaining its majority in the June legislative election.

• Harris Interactive poll: Parliamentary elections (seat projection range): Ensemble: 300-350, NUPES: 105-168, RN: 52-80, LR/UDI: 30-48, Others: 3-7, Reconquete: 0-2, DlF: 0-1. Fieldwork: 6-9 May 2022. Sample size: 2,406
• A total of 289 seats are required to win an absolute majority in the National Assembly.
• Retaining a majority in the National Assembly would boost President Macron's prospects of enacting his legislative agenda, including raising the retirement age from 62 to 65, lowering inheritance taxes, and stepping up public investments in green energy (with the potential to nationalise firms amidst energy crises).
• The poll shows a collapse in support for the traditional centre-right (Les Republicains/Union of Democrats and Independents), down from 120 at the end of the previous parliamentary term to just 30-48 seats.
• According to the poll main opposition bloc after the election would be the leftist Nouvelle Union Populaire écologiste et sociale (NUPES; English: New People's Ecologist and Social Union) group. This includes third-placed presidential candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon's far-left La France Insoumise, the environmentalist European Ecology-the Greens, the French Communist Party, and the centre-left Socialist Party - historically one of France's dominant parties but now reduced to the role of a small player in a larger leftist alliance.