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Polling Data Gives Republicans Dramatic Lead Over Democrats

US
  • New polling data from CNBC gives the Republicans a 10-point advantage over the Democrats for preferred control of Congress. According to the polls, the Republicans have extended their margin to 44%-34%, up from a 2% margin in October. This historic negative margin for the Democrats, if reflected in the 2022 Midterms, would see the party losing control of the House and Senate.
  • Respondents cite inflation as their number one cause for concern, but the Democrats are also losing support in previous areas of strength including, climate, the Covid-19 response and unemployment.
  • This supports campaign strategy decisions of the GOP who view inflation risks surrounding President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better bill as a potential weakness for the Democrats ahead of the Midterms. The GOP has earmarked a USD4.3m war-chest of advertising funding targeting inflation concerns to dislodge incumbent Senators Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV), Mark Kelly (D-AZ), and Maggie Hassan (D-NH) in key 2022 Senatorial races.
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