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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
SLOVAKIA
Opinion polling ahead of the Slovakian presidential election taking place on 23 March shows that Parliament Speaker Peter Pellegrini and former Foreign Minister Ivan Korčok will need a second round run-off election on 6 April to decide a winner, with neither likely to secure the 50%+1 of the vote required to win outright. While the Slovakian presidency is a largely ceremonial position, the office holder has a national platform to speak on the political issues of the day.
- Outgoing President Zuzana Čaputová has used her final months in office to criticise the policies of PM Robert Fico and his left-wing populist gov't for its percieved euroscepticism and friendliness to Russia.
- Pellegrini, hailing from the centre-left Hlas-SD, would likely prove much more amenable to the Fico policy agenda were he to win office. Korčok on the other hand has the backing of the opposition pro-EU Progressive Slovakia and as such would be a voice of criticism for the Fico gov't should he win the Grassalkovich Palace.
- Former Chief Justice of the Supreme Court Štefan Harabin, with the endorsement of the right-wing nationalist Slovak National and Republic parties, looks set to come third with around 10% of the vote. Whether his supporters change their allegiance to either of the main candidates in the second round could prove decisive.
- Pellegrini and Korčok have clashed over Ukraine, with Pellegrini repeating the Fico gov'ts calls for a peace settlement, while Korčok backs allying with Poland and Czechia in providing military support to Kyiv.
Chart 1. Presidetial Election Opinion Polling, % & 3-Poll Moving Average
Source: Ipsos, Median, Focus, Sanep, NMS, AKO, MNI
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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