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US TSY FUTURES: Post-Consumer Confidence React

US TSY FUTURES
  • Treasury futures remain in negative territory following lower than expected Conference Board Consumer Confidence data.
  • Futures had pared losses/climbed to session highs on mini-version of Monday's DeepSeek-tied risk-off move as Nvidia trades weaker again this morning. Reversal soon followed, however:
  • Currently, the Mar'25 10Y contract trades -7.5 at 108-29.5, off late overnight low of 108-25.5. Futures remain inside technical ranges: support well below at 108-00/107-06 (Low Jan 16 / 13 and the bear trigger), nearly breached yesterday - resistance above at 109-12+ (50-day EMA).
  • Cross-asset moves: Bloomberg US$ index still bid but off highs at 1300.58 (+3.74), Gold +11.45 at 2752.26, stocks firmer (SPX Eminis +9.0 at 6055.75.
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  • Treasury futures remain in negative territory following lower than expected Conference Board Consumer Confidence data.
  • Futures had pared losses/climbed to session highs on mini-version of Monday's DeepSeek-tied risk-off move as Nvidia trades weaker again this morning. Reversal soon followed, however:
  • Currently, the Mar'25 10Y contract trades -7.5 at 108-29.5, off late overnight low of 108-25.5. Futures remain inside technical ranges: support well below at 108-00/107-06 (Low Jan 16 / 13 and the bear trigger), nearly breached yesterday - resistance above at 109-12+ (50-day EMA).
  • Cross-asset moves: Bloomberg US$ index still bid but off highs at 1300.58 (+3.74), Gold +11.45 at 2752.26, stocks firmer (SPX Eminis +9.0 at 6055.75.