May 22, 2024 14:11 GMT
Post-Existing Home Sales Miss React
US TSYS
- Treasury futures show little reaction to weaker than expected Existing Home Sales 4.14M vs. 4.22M est, prior up-revised to 4.22M from 4.19M; MoM: -1.9% vs. 0.8% est, while prior up-revised to -3.7% from -4.3%.
- Treasury futures still weaker but off early session lows as they tracked EGB's rebound off UK CPI-tied lows early overnight. Jun'24 10Y futures currently -5.5 at 109-02 vs. 108-28.5 low (just through 108-29 technical support: 20-day EMA). Curves flatter, near lows, 2s10s -1.660 at -43.528.
- Rate cut projections recede vs. late Tuesday levels (*): June 2024 at -5% w/ cumulative rate cut 1.2bp at 5.323%, July'24 at -18.0% (-20%) w/ cumulative at 5.8 (-6.3bp) at 5.278%, Sep'24 cumulative -18.3bp (-19.9bp), Nov'24 cumulative -26.1bp (-27.6bp), Dec'24 -40.2bp (-43.7bp).
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