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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free Access### POV: OCR TO REMAIN AT LOW LEVEL - The......>
RBNZ: ### POV: OCR TO REMAIN AT LOW LEVEL
- The RBNZ is widely expected to keep policy rates unchanged Wednesday at 1.75%
with focus on Governor Orr's press conference for clues on future direction.
- Markets will look to see if the Governor provides further two-way guidance on
rate expectations, changes to the projected OCR path will also be monitored.
- Despite the economy being at a point of maximum sustainable employment, rising
wages and a weaker NZ dollar, some analysts see the RBNZ moving to a more dovish
stance with a delay in the 10bps increase from Q3 2019 into 2020.
- Amid a backdrop of rising infln and slowing growth, the RBNZ will likely see
this as offsetting against one another.
- Hawkish risk: Focus on rising RBNZ Sectoral CPI model, bring forward OCR rate
path projections.
- Neutral: Note firmer infln offset by slowing growth, note more risks ahead.
- Dovish risk: Highlight business/consumer confidence is extremely weak, note
concern on the longer term inflation outlook, acknowledge softer commodity
prices and housing markets.
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.