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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free Access###POV: RATE HIKE NAILED ON, POLICY.....>
NORGES BANK: ###POV: RATE HIKE NAILED ON, POLICY PATH KEY
-A 25bps hike has been telegraphed by the Norges Bank for months, and all
analysts surveyed expect Norwegian deposit rates to rise to 1.00% at the March
meeting. Domestic GDP growth has beaten the bank's internal forecasts and
inflation dynamics remain encouraging. The Bank's 2019 policy path will likely
remain unchanged, with the strong economy at home countered by weaker
developments in key trade partners. This should be reflected in a path that
suggests one more 25bps hike this year. However, medium-term global risks to
economic stability and commodity markets could see the 2020 path trimmed to
accommodate for this.
-Dovish risk: Any flattening of the 2019 policy path would prove a dovish
surprise and the suggestion that there are to be no further rate hikes before
December will likely result in NOK weakness and re-targeting of the 100-dma.
-Hawkish risk: Bank allow policy path to drift higher and incorporate higher
rates at end-2020, ignoring the contrast with the easier ECB stance. NOK bulls
may then press EUR/NOK below the 200-dma for the first time since November.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.