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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free Access### POV: RBA Seen On Hold In Placeholder........>
RBA: ### POV: RBA Seen On Hold In Placeholder Meeting
The RBA will almost certainly leave its cash rate on hold at 1.50% on Tuesday.
The Bank is unlikely to be swayed by domestic political uncertainty and the risk
of wider mortgage rate rises, instead focusing on econ. data, including a dip in
the unemp. rate, in effect maintaining its glass half full approach.
- Chances are that the Bank will reiterate that the next move in the cash rate
will likely be up in both the minutes from the meeting & a speech from RBA Gov.
Lowe, due later Tuesday. Last month's SoMP gave the RBA the chance to update its
econ. forecasts, with no large deviations from the prior outlook apparent. The
Bank is likely to state that recent data have been consistent with the central
forecast for GDP to be a touch above 3% in '18 & '19.
- Hawkish Risk: Very limited space for any overtly hawkish rhetoric.
- Central Scenario: A placeholder statement with a focus on the matters outlined
above.
- Dovish Risk: Focus on Westpac's higher mortgage rates, the effect of political
uncertainty on Biz confidence or heightened awareness of trade war risks.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.