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PPI Sees Modest Deceleration for Second Consecutive Month

EUROZONE DATA
MNI (London)

EUROZONE JUN PPI +1.1% M/M, +35.8% Y/Y (FCST +35.7% Y/Y); MAY +36.2%r Y/Y

  • Euro-area factory gate inflation was only marginally hotter than expected, up +1.1% m/m and by +35.7% y/y in June.
  • This is down a modest 0.4pp from May in the second month of decelerating PPI, largely due to the slowing of energy prices (+92.8% vs +94.4% in May) and intermediate goods (+23.8% vs +25.0%).
  • The highest yearly increases were recorded in Romania (+61.2%), Denmark (+55.5%) and Lithuania (+52.5%).
  • Excluding energy, PPI increased to 15.6% y/y in June, which is 0.4pp lower than in May and hints at a more widespread gentle deceleration of prices. This will come as welcome news to the ECB, however, slowing factory-gate inflation is yet to spill over into consumer prices which continued to soar to a record +8.9% in July.


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