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PPI Slows to Pre-Pandemic Levels

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY MAY PPI -1.4% M/M (FCST -0.7%); APR +0.3% M/M

GERMANY MAY PPI +1.0% Y/Y (FCST +1.7%); APR +4.1% Y/Y

  • German factory-gate inflation slowed further in May, with prices declining by -1.4% m/m, implying seven deflationary m/m prints over the last eight months.
  • PPI cooled by 3.1pp to +1.0% y/y, the lowest since pre-pandemic January 2021 (+0.9% y/y).
  • Both headline prints were 0.7pp lower than anticipated.
  • Intermediate goods declined -2.3% y/y and assisted by falling metal and raw material prices, whilst energy fell -3.3% y/y.
  • The index excluding energy declined -0.4% m/m and slowed 1.6pp to +3.2% y/y, signalling a slower, albeit broad-based reduction in price pressures.
  • Easing energy prices alongside a reduction in demand and supply-chain issues as flagged in recent PMI data underpins the current downwards trajectory of PPI.
  • This data implies a decline in goods inflation to continue across the broader economy.


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