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No Respite For Industry From Soaring Costs

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY SEP PPI +2.3% M/M (FCST +1.5%); AUG +7.9% M/M

GERMANY SEP PMI +45.8% Y/Y (FCST +45.4%); AUG +45.8% Y/Y

  • German PPI plateaued at the record high of +48.5% y/y in September, with factory prices accelerating by +2.3% m/m alone. This was less stark than the record +7.9% m/m jump recorded in August.
  • Energy prices continue to be the key driver, having over-doubled at +132.2% y/y in September.
  • High energy costs are spilling over into prices for other goods, which alongside continued supply issues saw prices increase in a broad-based manner. PPI excluding energy rose +0.4% m/m and +14.0% y/y, in line with August rates.
  • Soaring factory-gate inflation in September will likely drive another weak September print for German industrial production. Relentlessly high energy prices saw energy-intensive production drop by 8.6% from February to August.
  • As this trend continues, the struggling industrial sector will generate further substantial downside risks for the German economy.

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