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President Biden's Poor Approval Rating May Not Influence 2024 Outcome

US

Politico has reported that although President Biden is suffering from poor approval, it is an imperfect indicator of future presidential election results.

  • Politico: “A deep dive into the numbers reveals Biden isn’t just struggling with independents and near-unanimous disapproval among Republicans. He’s also soft among Democrats and left-leaning demographic groups…”
  • Politico: “For Biden, the polling presents both serious warning signs and reasons to think his peril may be overstated. Here’s why: Biden’s 43-percent approval rating at this juncture of his term puts him roughly even with past presidents who have both won — Barack Obama (43 percent), Ronald Reagan (41 percent) — and lost, like Trump (42 percent) and Jimmy Carter (40 percent).”

Figure 1: Presidents' Approval Ratings Can't Predict Their Re-election Prospects

Source: Politico

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