MNI BRIEF: BOI Sees "Modest" Q2 EZ Growth Driven By Services

MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, July 12

MNI BRIEF: China June M2 SlowsTo Record Low For Third Month

MNI BRIEF: China Steel Export Growth Slows In June

MNI: PBOC Conducts CNY2 Bln Via OMO Fri; Liquidity Unchanged

CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY2 BILLION VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS FRI

MNI: BAKER HUGHES US RIG COUNT 584; OIL RIGS 478; GAS RIGS 100

MNI: USDA: 2024/2025 CORN PRODUCTION EST 15.10B BSL

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: Germany, Netherlands, France Due Monday

RPT-MNI: Canada Sticks To Fiscal Anchors, Spends Chunk Of Windfall

MNI BRIEF: Poilievre Calls QE 'Scam' And Would Limit BOC Remit

© 1982-2024 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

Presidential Odds Swing Further Trump's Way

US
Homepagemarkets-real-timePolitical RiskPolitical Risk BulletBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets

The presidential odds have swung further in favor of the Republicans and Trump over the weekend, post the assassination attempt. Trump, who initially considered delaying his trip to Wisconsin, and The Republican National Convention, by two days has decided against that and has just arrived in Milwaukee for the RNC.

  • According to PredictIt, Trump jumped 6pts over the weekend and now sits with a 67% chance of winning, verses Biden who dropped 1pt to 26%, while Kamala dropped 8pts since Friday.
  • Biden who briefly spoke moments ago has said "We need to lower temperature in politics"
  • Odds that Biden will lead the Democratic party to the next election surged on Friday after an energetic speech in Detroit where he vowed to "shine a spotlight" on Trump. Democratic nominee odds are now Biden at 70%, up from 48% on Friday, while Kamala is now at 21% down from 44% on Friday

US PredicIt % presidential candidate winning

Keep reading...Show less
170 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

The presidential odds have swung further in favor of the Republicans and Trump over the weekend, post the assassination attempt. Trump, who initially considered delaying his trip to Wisconsin, and The Republican National Convention, by two days has decided against that and has just arrived in Milwaukee for the RNC.

  • According to PredictIt, Trump jumped 6pts over the weekend and now sits with a 67% chance of winning, verses Biden who dropped 1pt to 26%, while Kamala dropped 8pts since Friday.
  • Biden who briefly spoke moments ago has said "We need to lower temperature in politics"
  • Odds that Biden will lead the Democratic party to the next election surged on Friday after an energetic speech in Detroit where he vowed to "shine a spotlight" on Trump. Democratic nominee odds are now Biden at 70%, up from 48% on Friday, while Kamala is now at 21% down from 44% on Friday

US PredicIt % presidential candidate winning

Keep reading...Show less