April 25, 2024 11:24 GMT
Price Signal Summary - Bear Cycle In Gilts Remains In Play
OUTLOOK
- In the FI space, the trend outlook in Bund futures is unchanged and remains bearish. The contract traded to a fresh cycle low yesterday, confirming once again a resumption of the downtrend. Key support at 131.23, the Feb 29 low, has recently been cleared. Sights are on 129.87, 1.382 projection of the Mar 8 - 18 - 27 price swing. On the upside, firm resistance is at 133.05, the Apr 12 high. Short-term gains would be considered corrective. First resistance is at 131.66, the 20-day EMA.
- A bearish theme in Gilt futures remains intact. Yesterday’s break of support at 96.01, the Apr 17 low, confirms a resumption of the downtrend and maintains the bearish price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Furthermore, moving average studies have recently crossed, highlighting a bear-mode set-up. Scope is seen for an extension towards 95.41 next, the 2.00 projection of the Mar 12 - 15 - 22 price swing. Initial firm resistance is 97.53, the 20-day EMA.
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