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Price Signal Summary - Bund Trend Needle Points North

OUTLOOK
  • In the FI space, Bund futures traded sharply higher Thursday. The short-term outlook remains bullish despite Friday’s move lower. Price has recently pierced the 50-day EMA at 139.99. A clear break of this average would threaten the recent bearish theme and highlight a stronger short-term reversal. This would open 140.92, the Oct 28 high and 142.87, the Oct 4 high. The 20-day EMA marks initial support, at 138.15 today.
  • Gilt futures remain in a short-term uptrend and last week’s gains reinforce bullish conditions. The contract has cleared 104.39, Oct 27 high and confirmed a resumption of the uptrend. This has also confirmed a recent bull flag pattern on the daily chart. A continuation higher would open 106.25, Sep 12 high. Key support is at 99.92, the Nov 8 low. Initial support is at 102.26, the 50-day EMA.

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