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Price Signal Summary - EURUSD Trend Structure Remains Bearish

OUTLOOK
  • In FX, EURUSD is trading below its recent thighs. The trend condition remains bearish and the reversal lower from 1.0640, Oct 12 high, suggests the end of the recent corrective cycle. The focus is on 1.0448, the Oct 3 low and a bear trigger. Clearance of this level would resume the downtrend and open 1.0406, 50.0% of the Sep ‘22 - Jul ‘23 bull leg. On the upside, a break of 1.0640, the Oct 12 high, is required to signal scope for a stronger correction.
  • The GBPUSD trend condition remains bearish. The reversal from recent highs signals the end of a corrective phase between Oct 4 - 11 and the continuation lower exposes the bear trigger at 1.2037, the Oct 4 low. Clearance of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend that started in July and open 1.1964, a 3.00 projection of the Jul 14 - 24 - 27 price swing. For bulls, a break of 1.2337, the Oct 11 high, would signal scope for a stronger corrective phase.
  • USDJPY continues to trade in a tight range just below its recent trend highs. The outlook is bullish and moving average studies continue to highlight positive market sentiment. Attention is on the 150.00 handle and the recent 150.16 high (Oct 3). A clear break of 150.00 would reinforce bullish conditions and open 150.40, a 2.618 projection of the Jan 16 - Mar 8 - Mar 24 price swing. On the downside, a breach of 147.43, Oct 3 low, would be an important bearish development.

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