February 03, 2025 12:34 GMT
OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Short-Term Cycle High In Gilts
OUTLOOK
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- In the FI space, Bund futures are trading higher today as the contract starts the week on a bullish note. Price is through resistance at 132.22, the Jan 22 high, and has cleared both the 20- and 50-day EMAs. The break higher confirms a resumption of the corrective bull cycle that started Jan 14. This signals scope for an extension towards 133.73, 50.0% of the Dec 2 - Jan 14 bear leg. Firm short-term support has been defined at 131.00, the Jan 16 / 24 low. Initial support is at 132.02, the 20-day EMA.
- Recent gains in Gilt futures continue to highlight a corrective phase and signal scope for a continuation higher near-term. Last week’s high print and today’s gains, reinforce current conditions. The contract has traded through 93.09, the Dec 20 high. Sights are on 93.64, 61.8% of the Dec 3 - Jan 13 bear leg. The bear trigger has been defined at 88.96, the Jan 13 low. Initial firm support is at 91.52, the Jan 24 low. First support lies at 91.99, the 20-day EMA.
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