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Price Signal Summary: USDBRL Resumes Its Downleg And Probes Key Support

LATAM FX
  • USDMXN traded higher yesterday and remains in a short-term corrective cycle. The trend outlook iss bearish. This follows the sell-off since Nov 26 that established a sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Attention is on 20.2517, Nov 9 low and 20.1196, Oct 26 low. The latter is a key support. Note however that the pair has today probed resistance at 20.7603, Jan 6 high. A clear break of this hurdle is required to highlight the possibility of a stronger reversal that would open 20.9954 initially, 61.8% of the downleg between Nov 26 and Jan 18.
  • USDBRL continues to weaken. Price is again challenging 5.3885, the Nov 11 low. A clear break would open 5.3249, 50.0% of the Jun - Oct rally last year. Tuesday’s move lower and the subsequent follow through means the pair remains below key short-term resistance at 5.5823, Jan 18 high. An initial firm resistance has also been established at 5.5245, the Jan 24 high. A break above this level would ease bearish pressure.
  • The USDCLP trend direction remains down. Attention is on support at 788.22, the Nov 10 low ahead of 783.23, the 50.0% retracement of the May - Dec 2021 upleg. Recent weakness resulted in a break of trendline support on Jan 5, drawn from the May 10, 2021 low and a break of the 50-day EMA on Jan 7. The extension lower reinforces a clear bearish theme. Initial firm resistance is seen at 820.21 the 20-day EMA.

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