February 25, 2025 14:15 GMT
LATAM FX: Price Signal Summary – USDCLP Trend Needle Points South
LATAM FX
- USDMXN continues to trade below the Feb 3 high. Key support has been defined at 20.1343, the Jan 24 low. A clear break of this level would highlight a potential reversal and would open 19.7618, the Nov 7 ‘24 low. For now, the recent move down appears corrective. The trend structure is bullish and the recent move above 20.9382, the Jan 17 high, marked a resumption of the uptrend. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. A resumption of gains would refocus attention on 21.4007 and 21.5807, the 3.00 and 3.236 projections of the Sep 18 - Oct 1 - 4 ‘24 price swing. Initial resistance is at 20.7132, the Feb 5 high.
- A bear cycle in USDBRL remains in play and this signals scope for a continued retracement. The 50-day EMA has recently been breached and was followed by a break of 5.8675, the Dec 12 low. Sights are on 5.6340, the Nov 7 low, and the 5.6000 handle. On the upside, a confirmed reversal higher would refocus attention on 6.3165, the Dec 18 high and the bull trigger. Initial firm resistance is at 5.8637, the 50-day EMA.
- USDCLP remains in a bear-mode condition. Price has recently breached the 50-day EMA. The subsequent bear extension highlights potential for a deeper retracement. Note too that price has also traded through 966.86, the Dec 6 low, and the 960.00 handle. This opens 921.59, the 76.4% retracement of the upleg between Sep 27 ‘24 - Jan 3. Firm resistance is seen at 971.70 the 50-day EMA. The 20-day EMA, an initial resistance, is at 960.34.
268 words