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Pro-, Anti-Netanyahu Blocs Struggle To Gain Majority In Late-July Polls


According to the latest opinion polling ahead of the 1 November general election, neither the parties supportive of former PM Benjamin Netanyahu nor those opposed to his return to power look on course to secure a stable majority in the Knesset (Parliament).

  • The three opinion polls carried out in the past week by Camil Fuchs/Channel 13, Kantar/Kan11, and Panels Politics/Maariv show the pro-Netanyahu parties winning 59/60 seats, the anti-Netanyahu parties 54/55 and the Arab-interest Joint List on six seats. A total of 61 seats are required to win the narrowest 1-seat majority in the 120-member Knesset.
  • At present, the pro-Netanyahu bloc of parties (Likud, Shas, UTJ, Religious Zionisim) look in the best position to cross the 61-seat threshold, with a slow climb in the polls over 2022. The anti-Netanyahu bloc (Yesh Atid, Blue&White/New Hope, Labor, Meretz, Ra'am, Yisrael Beiteinu) sits consistently short of 61 seats. Joint List is set to reject working with either side.
Chart 1. General Election Opinion Pollling, Seat Projection by Bloc

Source: Midgam, Camil Fuchs, Panels Politics, Kantar, Direct Polls, Maagar Mohot, Smith, MNI

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