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Free AccessProvincial Polls Paint Varied Picture Despite Liberal Lead At Fed Level
Angus Reid provincial-level polling released earlier today shows some stark changes in support in many Canadian provinces in recent months/years. In contrast to the federal level, where PM Justin Trudeau's Liberals hold a comfortable lead in polls, at the provincial level his party only holds a lead in a select few areas. Main focus in 2022 will be on Ontario, where Premier Doug Ford's Conservatives seek to hold onto their majority.
- Ontario Provincial Polling: Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario: 37% (-4), Ontario New Democratic Party: 33% (-1), Ontario Liberal Party: 22% (+2), Green Party of Ontario: 6% (+1). Angus Reid / June 7, 2021 / n=791 / Online (% change with 2018 provincial election)
- Alberta Provincial Polling: New Democratic Party: 41% (+8), United Conservative Party: 30% (-25), Western Independence Party: 20% (+20), Alberta Party: 7% (-2), Alberta Liberal Party: 1% (-). Angus Reid / June 7, 2021 / n=502 / Online. (% change with 2019 provincial election)
- BritishColumbia Provincial Polling: New Democratic Party: 50% (+2), Liberal Party: 24% (-10), Greens: 18% (+3), Conservatives: 7% (+5). Angus Reid / June 7, 2021 / n=488 / Online. (% Change With 2020 Election)
- Manitoba Provincial Polling: New Democratic Party: 42% (+11), Progressive Conservatives: 39% (-8), Liberals: 11% (-4), Greens: 4% (-2). Angus Reid / June 7, 2021 / n=398 / Online (% Change With 2019 Election).
- Quebec Provincial Polling: Coalition Avenir Quebec: 41% (+4), Liberals: 21% (-4), Quebec solidaire: 14% (-2), Parti Quebecois: 11% (-6), Conservative Party of Quebec: 8% (+6), Greens: 3% (+1). Angus Reid / June 7, 2021 / n=679 / Online (% change with 2018 provincial election).
- Newfoundland & Labrador Provincial Polling: Liberals: 50% (+2), Progressive Conservatives: 39% (-), New Democratic Party: 8% (-). Angus Reid / June 7, 2021 / n=153 / Online. (% Change With 2021 Election)
- Saskatchewan Provincial Polling: Saskatchewan Party: 57% (-4), New Democratic Party: 31% (-1), Greens: 3% (+1), Liberals: 2% (+2). Angus Reid / June 7, 2021 / n=412 / Online.(% Change With 2020 Election).
- New Brunswick Provincial Polling: Progressive Conservatives: 36% (-3), Liberals: 31% (-3), Greens: 17% (+2), People's Alliance of New Brunswick: 12% (+3), New Democratic Party: 4% (+2). Angus Reid / June 7, 2021 / n=191 / Online (% Change With 2020 Election).
- Nova Scotia Provincial Polling: Liberals: 41% (+1), Progressive Conservatives: 33% (-3), New Democratic Party: 20% (-2), Greens: 4% (+1). Angus Reid / June 7, 2021 / n=302 / Online (% Change With 2017 Election)
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.