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Pullback In Margin Exposure Doesn't Faze CSI 300 Bulls

CHINA STOCKS

China's CSI 300 index hasn't been hampered by the pullback in margin exposure in play since late January, which was triggered by a warning re: the need for appropriate monetary policy and potential bubbles in the local property and equity markets, courtesy of PBoC MPC member Ma Jun.

  • The PBoC clearly remains cognisant of the broader employment of leverage across China and the risks that markets bubbles can bring. The timing of Ma's comments may have been key, as they came at a time when Chinese margin exposure was printing at the highest levels witnessed since '15.
  • As flagged earlier, the Chinese LNY holiday consumption story, coupled with the broader reflation trade narrative has many looking for a positive session for Chinese equity markets after their 1-week hiatus, with the post-COVID outperformance story continuing to fuel interest in Chinese assets. The CSI 300 is indicated above its all-time closing highs pre-market.

Fig. 1: CSI 300 Index vs. Chinese Total Outstanding Margin Balances

Source: Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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