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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
A new survey from the Economist/YouGov has found that 31% of Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents say that outsider Vivek Ramaswamy won the first Republican presidential debate with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) is 12 points behind, with 19% and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley in a distant third with 8%.
- However, Ramaswamy's strong debate performance has been undermined this week by a flurry of negative press which has scrutinised his unorthodox foreign policy positions on Ukraine, Israel, and China and political inexperience.
- Betting markets see Ramaswamy lose ground following the debate. Data from Smarkets shows that now has a 6% implied probability of winning the Republican nomination, down from nearly 15% prior to the debate.
- YouGov also notes: "More than twice as many Republicans and Republican-leaners who say they'd most like to vote for Trump in the primary choose DeSantis (38%) as their second choice as select Ramaswamy (16%)."
Figure 1: Who Won the First Republican Presidential Debate?
Source: YouGov
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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