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RBA Dated OIS - Year-End Easing Expectations Return

STIR

RBA-dated OIS pricing has softened 7-28bps from pre-CPI levels across meetings, with 2025 meetings leading.

  • Terminal rate expectations have tumbled to 4.34% (versus the current effective rate of 4.32%) from 4.42% before yesterday’s CPI data.
  • Easing expectations have returned with the expected year-end official rate falling to 4.19%, its lowest level since the mid-June RBA meeting.


Figure 1: RBA-Dated OIS – Pre- Vs. Post-CPI




Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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