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"Real" Retail Sales Growth Weakest Since Early P​andemic (2/2)

US DATA

Looking at at our series of "real" (headline CPI-deflated) Y/Y retail sales, April saw the biggest contraction since Jun 2020, at -3.4% Y/Y.

  • This is a slightly unflattering comparison as Apr 2022 saw the highest level of real retail sales, and it's only a rough guide, but current levels are around where they were in 2Q 2021.
  • Nominal retail sales levels remain well above early 2021 levels, but that appears to be largely the effect of inflation - and April's Y/Y nominal growth was also the slowest since the contractions of 2Q 2020.

Source: Census Bureau, BLS, MNI

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