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Real Yields Crank Higher

US TSYS
  • Whilst off earlier highs, the 1.5bp increase in US 10Y yields today masks a larger rise in real yields of 4.5bps to -0.46% after Friday’s 8bp increase.
  • Nominal yields earlier touched new highs since Jan’20 before dipping 1.5bps, mostly since ECB’s Lagarde said chances have increased that inflation stabilises at 2%... no need to rush to premature conclusions.
  • This pushes the tightening in real yields up to a hefty ~65bps for the year to date, which has seen inflation breakevens fall by nearly 22bps.

UST 10Y nominal yields (yellow), inflation breakevens (white) and real yields (green)Source: Bloomberg

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