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Rebound Close To Late June/July Bounce In Percentage Terms, Broader Metal Gains Helping

IRON ORE

The active iron ore contract has continued to recover in the first part of Tuesday trade. We were last at $101.65/ton just off session highs ($101.85/ton). This puts the correction from recent lows beyond 10%. Interestingly, the late June to early July correction was of similar magnitude (albeit based at higher levels). This bounce ran out of steam with a +11% gain.

  • The current episode looks to reflect positive spill over from gains elsewhere in the metals space, which are also up strongly from recent lows.
  • Receding global recession fears are a positive in this context. Onshore positives are from further rises in local steel futures, while carry over from lower inventory levels at China ports (from the end of last week) may also be helping sentiment.
  • China profits data was firmer earlier, although onshore equities remain weak. Property sub-indices are threatening fresh multi month lows.
  • The next local data focus will Saturday's official PMI prints for August.

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