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Recovery off Thursday's low of..........>

EURO-DOLLAR
MNI (London)
EURO-DOLLAR: Recovery off Thursday's low of $1.1642 touched a high of $1.1679
before it drifted off to $1.1665 into the close. Early Asia extended the move to
$1.1660 before it bounced back up to $1.1676 but recovery met headwind
resistance and eased back to $1.1660 again. Rate edged back above $1.1670 into
Europe, getting a lift to $1.1690 as market reacted to reported comments from
ECB Nowotny, ECB should focus on getting the deposit rate out of negative
territory, and he believes that the "woes" in Italy should not delay the hiking
cycle. Again recovery attempt met headwind resistance and has eased back to
$1.1676 at writing. Month-end and bank models have signals suggesting strong USD
sales to be seen at today's fixes. Added to this the option expiry table is
showing some sizeable interest today, $1.1600(E2.07bn), $1.1620-25(E798mn),
$1.1675(E1.09bn), $1.1690-95(E947mn), 1.1700-05(E1.67bn), $1.1720-30(E2.34bn),
$1.1750-55(E1.56bn). Long weekend in the US looms so expect markets in this
region to quieten into their afternoon. EM FX remains a key driver in markets.
Flash EZ CPI at 0900GMT, France and Italy CPI releases ahead to be watched after
the softer data from Germany and Spain Thursday. 
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com

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