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Free AccessRep Spanberger Likely To Run For Gov, Opening Key House Seat In 2024
Politico has reported that Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-VA), "has told multiple people she will run for governor in 2025," leaving open a competitive seat that Democrats will likely have to win if they are to retake the House of Representatives in 2024.
- Politico: "Any announcement from Spanberger would likely not come until after Virginia’s highly competitive state legislative elections this November. But her ambitions — and that possible timeline — threaten to add uncertainty about the battle for the House in 2024... Democrats will have to defend Spanberger’s competitive district to have a shot at retaking the majority."
- FiveThirtyEight reports that House retirements in this cycle are currently on the low side, with twelve departures and just two "pure retirements" announced so far.
- FiveThirtyEight notes: "Across all 12 departures, just three involve competitive districts, so this group of open seats won’t necessarily prove decisive in 2024. However, each of those three seats is held by a Democrat, providing Republicans with some takeover opportunities that could aid their efforts to preserve their slim majority."
Source: FiveThirtyEight
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.