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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
REPEAT:MNI DATA :Australia H'Hold Sentiment Up But Not Robust
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 23:36 GMT Mar 13/19:36 EST Mar 13
--Westpac-MI Consumer Sentiemtn +0.2% m/m in March to 103.0
By Sophia Rodrigues
SYDNEY (MNI) - The Westpac-Melbourne Institute's monthly consumer sentiment
survey rose in March and remained in the optimistic territory for the fourth
straight month. However, indicators correlated to household spending remained
weak and continues to point to subdued outlook for consumption.
Data published by Westpac-Melbourne Institute Wednesday showed consumer
sentiment rose 0.2% m/m in March to 103.0.
Despite the rise, the sentiment index remains well below levels typically
associated with a robust consumer.
The details in the survey and additional questions continue to suggest a
cautious consumer. The sub-index "finances vs year ago" rose 2.4% m/m but
remains low at 86.6. The index of house price expectations fell and was notably
weaker in New South Wales. The "time to buy a dwelling" index rose slightly but
remains well below its long-run average, although a bright spot was improvement
in sentiment in Sydney and Melbourne.
The "time to buy a major item" sub-index remains consistently below its
long-run average and points to a continued reluctance to commit to large
purchases.
Other questions in the survey may also be pointing to a cautious consumer.
Households are showing increased concerns about the economy likely due to
developments abroad. The highest recall rate was of news on economic conditions
which was negative versus three months ago. And the most notable shift was on
international conditions which was viewed a significantly more negative than
three months earlier.
None of the other high recall topics like "budget and taxation", "interest
rates" and "inflation" were viewed a favorable.
The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Unemployment Expectations Index rose 10%
m/m to 121.8, marking a slightly deterioration but it remains 6.4% higher than
the long-run average.
Among other sub-indexes, the "economic outlook, next 5 years" fell 4.1% m/m
in March which may be a reflection of news around global trade tensions
following announcement of tariffs on steel and aluminium in the U.S.
From Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment for February
published Wednesday:
March February
-------------------------------------------------------
Sentiment Index 103.0 102.7
Current-Conditions Index 104.9 104.2
Expectations Index 101.7 101.8
Family Finances Vs Year Ago 86.6 84.6
Family Finances Next 12 Months 107.9 105.7
Economic Conditions Next 12 Months 100.4 98.8
Economic Conditions Next 5 Years 96.7 100.8
Good Time to Buy Major Household Items 123.2 123.9
--MNI Sydney Bureau; tel: +61 2-9716-5467; email: sophia.rodrigues@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.