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REPEAT: MNI: German Politicians Downplay Italy Debt Plan
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 06:30 GMT Apr 13/02:30 EST Apr 13
--Lega Eurozone Proposals for ECB Debt Relief Seen Unworkable
--SPD, FPD Open to Different Avenues to Debt Relief
By Chris Mc Innes
LONDON (MNI) - If Italy's centre-right coalition get to govern, finance
ministers and central bankers across the euro area will be on high alert, with
politicians already telling MNI some of their economic plans are unworkable.
Lega, the biggest party in the coalition following the March 4 election and
de facto group leaders, will see their plans coming under close scrutiny across
the Continent
Their Eurozone proposals particularly would face stiff opposition in
Germany if they were translated into government policy, senior parliamentary
sources in Berlin told MNI.
In a recent interview with MNI, Lega's economic policy spokesman called on
the European Central Bank to write off all the sovereign debt it had acquired
through the asset purchase program as a way of dealing with some governments'
chronic debt overhang. This would include writing off over E400 billion in
Italian government debt alone.
--SPD AND FDP: A NO FROM US
Senior representatives for the SPD, Angela Merkel's junior coalition
partner in government, and the FDP, a prominent opposition party, pointed to the
legal impossibility of Lega's proposal. MNI understands that other parties share
this view.
Lothar Binding, the SPD's finance spokesperson in the Bundestag,
highlighted that the ECB does not have the authority to carry out such a move.
"A debt write-off would also go against the no-bail-out clause enshrined in the
European treaties," he added.
Bettina Stark-Watzinger, chairwoman of the Bundestag's Finance Committee
and member of the FDP leadership, said that "a debt write off by the ECB is not
possible. Moreover, the credibility of European policies would suffer."
--DIFFERENT DEBT RELIEF PATHS
However, both suggested ways in which a new Italian government could reduce
its outstanding debt, which currently stands at E2.3 trillion. According to
Binding, debt relief is available to program countries but would carry stringent
conditions.
Stark-Watzinger repeated her party's proposal for a Euro area sovereign
debt restructuring mechanism, saying that "ways should be found to allow the new
Italian government to temporarily leave the euro if it decides its debt is no
longer sustainable."
But there is little support for such a measure within German government
ranks. The coalition agreement, which serves as a detailed policy roadmap for
the government, makes no mention of this. Furthermore, it would run counter to
the more integrationist bent of the SPD and CDU.
--ITALY TALKS DEADLOCKED
The rhetoric from Rome has outlined a bleak worst-case scenario for
European leaders should Lega play a prominent role in Italy's next government.
Yet it remains to be seen how big an imprint Lega will have on government policy
and indeed if it will have one at all.
Lega government participation is still far from guaranteed. Both Five Star
and Lega have warmed to each other since the election, but Lega is tied by a
deal to Silvia Berlusconi's Forza Italia, with whom Five Star has refused to
govern. It is unclear if Matteo Salvini, the Lega leader, will stick to the
coalition agreement or break the deal to form a government.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.