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Free Access/RESEARCH: Part 1: Academy...........>
US TSYS/STOCKS: /RESEARCH: Part 1: Academy Securities head of macro strategy
Peter Tchir eyed "shifting correlations" today in financial markets (US stocks,
bonds, etc cross-asset correlations). "I continue to focus on potential shifts
in correlation being the biggest risk the market faces," he said. "Today saw two
moves that caught my eye. Not alarming, but interesting."
- He cited CBOE S&P 500 implied correlation index (KCJ ticker), which "measures
the correlation of price returns in the S&P 500 based on single stock options on
the 50 largest components. It was extremely low" previously, "partly because in
markets with small absolute moves in the indices, the correlation measures tend
drift towards zero."
- But it "bounced nicely today, back to levels right before we had some market
excitement in August," he said. "It isn't anything to be too worried about, but
interesting given my view that correlation shifts are the risk the market is
least prepared for." (More)
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.