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RESEND: MNI NBH Preview - July 2021: 30bps Hike Priced In

Hungary Central Bank

Executive Summary

  • The NBH is expected to raise its benchmark by 30bps to 1.2% on July 27
  • In their latest inflation report published on June 24, the NBH reviewed its inflation forecast for 2021 to the upside
  • In the past few weeks, the rise in political instability amid a series of legal disputes with the EU has been weighing on the HUF
  • Selling pressure on the HUF could eventually become a problem for NBH policymakers as it could intensify the inflationary pressures

Link to full publication

NBH CB Prev - July 27.pdf

The National Bank of Hungary (NBH) is expected to raise its benchmark by 30bps again following the first hike last month up to 1.2 %, following NBH policymakers' recent hawkish comments. As for other CEE peers, inflationary pressures have continued to surprise positively in June, 'pushing' policymakers to start a tightening cycle even though the uncertainty over the economic recovery remains elevated.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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