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Unemployment Rate Steady, Employment Growth Only Marginally Positive In Y/Y Terms

SOUTH KOREA

South Korea's June unemployment rate was steady at 2.8%, which was line with market forecasts. This is slightly up from cycle lows at 2.5%, seen in late 2023.

  • This suggests a still reasonably tight labour market, although jobs growth remained sub 100k in y/y terms for the second straight month. In percentage change terms we are at 0.3% y/y for employment growth, matching the May pace, which is back near early 2021 levels from a momentum standpoint, see the chart below.
  • At the margin this adds to the need for policy support in terms of the domestic economy via rate cuts, but given the unemployment rate is only marginally above cycle lows, there is no need for urgent BoK action.

Fig 1: South Korea Unemployment rate & Employment Growth Y/Y


Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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