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Resilient Consumer Confidence After Latest BoC Hike

CANADA DATA
  • The Bloomberg Nanos consumer survey dipped just 0.1pt to 52.6 in the week to Jul 28 as it held most of the prior week’s solid +0.5pt increase.
  • It remains close to recent highs of 53.1 in early June, resilient considering a further two hikes from the BoC to 5%, even if it remains off the 55-60 region seen pre-pandemic.
  • The small dip on the week was concentrated in forward-looking views on the economy, whilst there were further improvements in backward-looking personal finances, current job security and forward-looking real estate optimism was little changed.
  • It’s only a small survey with a four-week rolling average of a combined 1000 responses but the relative resilience is notable after the bulk of the increase off lows came earlier in the year once the BoC had indicated a conditional pause in rate hikes.

Nanos Economic Mood IndexSource: Bloomberg

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