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UK DATA: Retail sales a bit softer than expected - no real market/ monpol impact

UK DATA

Retail sales a little softer than expected. This year Black Friday was not included in the sample period but it was last year. However, the ONS has noted that its seasonal adjustment accounts for the shift in timing.

  • We wouldn't really place too much weight on this reading though - we don't think any seasonal adjustments for things like Black Friday capture the event perfectly so we prefer to look at Nov+Dec combined (which the BOE will have by the time of the February MPC meeting).
  • Public finance data showed a smaller deficit in November (GBP2.4bln below consensus) but there was a higher revision to the year to October of GBP5.4bln which more than offset this.
  • Overall we don't think there is anything in today's data that will really impact markets. GBPUSD saw no real reaction to the release.
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Retail sales a little softer than expected. This year Black Friday was not included in the sample period but it was last year. However, the ONS has noted that its seasonal adjustment accounts for the shift in timing.

  • We wouldn't really place too much weight on this reading though - we don't think any seasonal adjustments for things like Black Friday capture the event perfectly so we prefer to look at Nov+Dec combined (which the BOE will have by the time of the February MPC meeting).
  • Public finance data showed a smaller deficit in November (GBP2.4bln below consensus) but there was a higher revision to the year to October of GBP5.4bln which more than offset this.
  • Overall we don't think there is anything in today's data that will really impact markets. GBPUSD saw no real reaction to the release.