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Revolution Day Holiday, USDMXN Outlook Remains Bearish

MEXICO
  • Local market closures for the national holiday should limit the impact on MXN on Monday with the Peso currently trading 0.4% softer from the open, in line with the firmer US Dollar.
  • The technical outlook remains bearish following the breach of 19.7533, the Sep 12 low. The break confirmed the end of a period of consolidation that started mid-August and resumed the downtrend that began Jul 14. Moving average studies are in a bear mode position, highlighting the current sentiment. 19.1560, the Mar 3 2020 low is the next point of support ahead of 19.000. Initial resistance moves down to 19.5728, the 20-day EMA.
  • Following Ilan Goldfajn’s appointment at the IDB, developments regarding Banxico’s Gerardo Esquivel will be monitored given his term on the central bank board will finish at the end of this year.

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