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Rising Cracks Push US Gasoline Pump Prices to Seasonal High

OIL PRODUCTS

Rising product crack spreads have pushed US gasoline prices higher so far this year with concern that tight supplies and a seasonal demand increase will drive pump prices further.

  • Gasoline averaged the highest ever for this time of year at 3.446$/gal on Monday according to AAA. Prices have risen for 13 consecutive days and the longest period of gains since the record prices in June.
  • High refinery outages are supporting the refinery product spreads. Refinery maintenance is expected to be greater than normal this season due to work that was deferred from last year to take advantage of the high prices. Unplanned outages are adding to the low production with many facilities slow to return after being taken offline due to severe cold in December.
  • The increase is coming about a month before the annual transition to produce more expensive summer grades of fuel which normally raises pump prices.
  • EIA data shows gasoline inventories at the lowest seasonal level in more than a decade and 7.6% below the five year average. The updated EIA inventory data the week to 20 Jan is due out later today.

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