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Rising Uncertainty and 'Dovish' BoE Have Been Weighing on GBP

FOREX
  • in the past few months, we have mentioned that the rise in uncertainty was potentially going to weigh on Sterling, which has historically been sensitive to 'high-volatility' regimes.
  • In addition, BoE's dovish tone in response to the emergence of the Omicron variant has also generated a rally in Short-sterling futures and therefore has been weighing on GBP in recent weeks.
  • The chart below shows the strong co-movement between 'risk-on' currency pair GBPJPY and World (ex-US) equities in recent years.
  • Periods of World (ex-US) equities' weakness have been generally associated with GBP depreciation (relative to JPY) and vice versa.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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