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Romania Central Bank Surprises Market With A 100Bps Rate Hike

CEE
  • Romania central bank (RCB) accelerated the pace of its tightening cycle and hiked its policy rate by 100bps to 4.75% at today's meeting (vs. 75bps exp.).
  • It is the seventh time that RCB is hiking rates, its policy rate is now up 350bps since its low reached in 2021.
  • Another 'aggressive' hike from Romania Central Bank, which decided to follow its CEE peers by surprising the market as inflation continues to accelerate in the CEE region.
  • CPI inflation surged to 14.2% in May, its highest level since November 2003, diverging significantly from the central bank's 1.5%-3.5% target.
    • June inflation print will come out on July 12, with CPI expected to surge above 15% YoY.
  • Selling pressure on CEE FX has been surging this week amid global risk off sentiment; USDRON broke above the 4.80 level yesterday and is currently trading at an all-time high.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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