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Romania Central Bank Surprises Market With a 50bps Hike

CEE
  • Romania central bank surprised the market and decided to raise its policy rate by 50bps to 2.50% in today's meeting (vs. 25bps expected).
  • It is the fourth time that RCB is hiking rates, its policy rate is now up 125bps since its low reached in 2021.
  • Another 'aggressive' hike from Romania Central Bank, which decided to follow its CEE peers and started to raise its policy rate in October 2021 (see chart below).
  • As for other CEE countries, inflationary pressures have remained elevated in Romania; CPI inflation surged to 8.2% in December, its highest level since May 2011, diverging significantly from the central bank's 1.5%-3.5% target.
  • USDRON has been trending lower today after failing to break through its 100DMA earlier (4.3330). ST support to watch on the downside stands at 4.30.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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