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Free Access**RPT - MNI DATA IMPACT: US Q2 GDP Rev Down To +2.0%>
--Downward Revision For Net Exports, Inventories
--Core PCE, Government Spending Revised Down From Advance Estimate
--Initial Jobless Claims Up 4k to 215k in Aug 24 Wk
By Brooke Migdon and Alexandra Kelley
WASHINGTON (MNI) - Second quarter GDP was revised down to a 2.0%
pace of growth from the 2.1% advance estimate, as expected by MNI and
Bloomberg surveys.
Also released at the same time, initial claims increased by 4,000
to 215,000 in the August 24 week, also in line with the expectations of
Bloomberg and MNI.
Here are some of the key takeaways from the data released on
Thursday:
- The GDP price index was unchanged at 2.4%, while the core PCE
price index was revised down slightly to a 1.7% reading from 1.8% in the
advance estimate. The year/year rate for the core PCE measure was
revised down to 1.5% from 1.9% in the advance estimate.
- The key factors in the downward adjustment were a wider net
export gap and a downward revision to private inventory growth.
Residential investment was also revised down to -2.9% from -1.5% in the
advanced estimate, while nonresidential fixed investment remained
unchanged at -0.6%.
- There was an offsetting upward revision to PCE, which MNI had
anticipated due to strong retail sales and services spending data.
Government spending was revised down to 4.5% from 5.9% in the advance
estimate.
- Final sales to domestic purchasers were revised up to a 3.6%
pace from the 3.5% rate in the advance estimate, up significantly from
the 1.8% pace set in the first quarter of 2019.
- The initial claims data reflect a 4,245 increase in unadjusted
claims, when seasonal factors had expected a 1,266 increase in the
current week. The largest unadjusted gain was in New York (+4,564),
while large declines were seen in Maryland (-383) and California (-432).
- The four-week moving average for claims fell marginally by 500 to
214,500 in the August 24 week and would be hold relatively steady next
week as the 212,000 level in the August 3 week rolls out.
- Continuing claims increased by 22,000 to 1.698 million in the
August 17 employment survey week, but the four-week average held
relatively steady, decreasing by 250 to 1.697 million.
** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$,MAUDR$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.