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RUB Bulls Eye Tight Oil Inventory data, Hawkish CBR as USD/RUB Hovers above 74

RUSSIA
  • USD/RUB opens lower on the back of early selling pressure on the BBDXY.
  • The cross pared early downside in yesterday's session following a hotter than expected US CPI print that roiled EMFX.
  • Oil markets trade a fraction lower this morning, with Brent hovering around $76.50 after China's 1H21 crude imports dropped.
  • However, supply concerns offset a portion of the decline with API inventories registering an eighth successive weekly drop.
  • USD/RUB failed to close below 74.00 in yesterday's session, but may begin to drift lower into next week on expectations for a more hawkish CBR meeting.
  • A move below 74.00 opens up 73.50 & 73.00 below as downside targets alongside the 50dma at 73.3379.
  • The covid situation in Russia appears to be escalating somewhat with the death rate increasing sharply in the past few days, as the Delta variant becomes more dominant.
  • Govt has shown little interest in increasing restrictions, however.
  • Intraday Sup1: 73.8980, Sup2: 73.7653, Res1: 74.2486, Res2: 74.8061
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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