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Rupiah Flat Against Greenback Despite Overnight Drop In U.S. Tsy Yields

IDR

Spot USD/IDR trades flat at IDR15,570 after clawing back its opening losses. 1-month NDF last seen +69 figs at IDR15,588. Familiar technical pictures remain in play. The rupiah is struggling to gain versus the greenback, unlike most its regional peers.

  • Offshore players bought a net $13.95mn in Indonesian stocks Wednesday. The Jakarta Comp traded on a softer footing, but has rebounded today, and looks poised to test its 50-DMA. Should that moving average give way, bulls would set their sights on the 61.8% retracement of the Sep - Oct sell-off at 7,137.
  • The recent pullback in U.S. Tsy yields on the back of a reassessment of Fed tightening outlook has been reflected in relative yield dynamics, which creates a favourable backdrop for the IDR. INDOGB curve remains near cyclical flats, with 5-Year/10-Year spread last seen at ~30bp.
  • Little to write home on the commodity complex, with the BCOM index holding a tight range near yesterday's highs. Palm oil futures advanced in after-hours trade Wednesday, boding well for today's session.
  • Bank Indonesia Snr Dep Gov Damayanti will speak at CORE discussion on G20 Summit today.
  • In the absence of notable data releases during the remainder of this week, focus turns to the latest batch of CPI figures, due next Tuesday.

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