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SAGBs Remain on the Backfoot Following US CPI, MTBPS Comes Into Focus

SOUTH AFRICA
  • SAGBs open weaker this morning, resuming the weakening bias from yesterday's session with yields up +4.2-8.3bp across the curve with weakness concentrated in 5-15Y yields.
  • Yesterday's session saw a notable unwind in bullish price action following US CPI with markets also potentially taking some risk off the table ahead of the MTBPS.
  • W/w the curve remains -10-15bp bull flatter in 10-30Y yields, but markets will be watching Godongwana closely for any slippage on the fiscal consolidation front amid pressure to implement a basic income grant following a weak ANC showing in the local elections.
  • a resolute approach to creating more targeted grants and a focus on structural reforms should be received positively, while unaffordable permanent measures will be viewed as broadly negative and likely be reflected at the back end of the curve.
  • SAGB Curve W/W Change


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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